Monday, August 11, 2014

Last Call: Round 5 Best Bets

The August 8, 2014 wait pool list for SFUSD is out. Here are the schools sorted by the ratio of waitpool applicants to kindergarten seats.  The deadline to change your wait pool school is August 15.

The big news: the Argonne wait pool has cleared.  Clarendon and Miraloma AA residents, have hope! Last year both schools had enough spots for the AA residents left in the waitpool for Round 5, in part because of students not allowed to enroll because of address fraud. At Clarendon, one kindergarten seat didn't fill until January. Correction: Clarendon's AA waitpool did not clear, although there were quite a few AA applicants who were offered spots during the first 10 days of school.  But it did look like Miraloma's AA waitpool cleared. 

2014-15 WAIT POOLS as of 8/8/2014

The number of kindergarten seats per school/program are based on SFUSD's reported number of seats per school for Round 1 and enrollment by grade from DataQuest. For the language programs, I assumed a ratio of 9 English to 13 target language spots.

General Education

No waitpool/possible openings (bold indicates that the waitpool has cleared from Round 1): Argonne,  Bryant, Carver, Chavez, Cleveland, Drew, El Dorado, Flynn, Garfield, Harte, Lau, Malcolm X, McCoppin, Muir, Parker, Redding, Revere, Serra, Sheridan, Spring Valley, Starr King, Tenderloin, Webster, Vis Valley.

School Prg Wait
Pool
  Kindergarten
  Capacity 
Waitpool
as a %
  of K Seats
GUADALUPE GE 1 66 2%
CARMICHAEL GE 1 66? 2%
LONGFELLOW GE 2 44 5%
ALAMO GE 2 91 2%
PARKS GE 1 44 2%
LAKESHORE GE 3 88 3%
STEVENSON GE 3 88 3%
ORTEGA GE 2 44 5%
SANCHEZ GE 1 44 2%
LAFAYETTE GE 4 88 5%
MILK GE 3 44 7%
NEW TRADITIONS GE 3 44 7%
ULLOA GE 5 66 8%
FEINSTEIN GE 8 92 9%
SUTRO GE 2 22 9%
KEY GE 8 88 9%
SF COMMUNITY GE 3 33 9%
CHIN GE 2 22 9%
GLEN PARK GE 4 44 9%
JEFFERSON GE 9 90 10%
WEST PORTAL GE 7 69 10%
HILLCREST GE 5 40 13%
YICK WO GE 5 44 11%
LAWTON GE 9 67 13%
MCKINLEY GE 11 69 16%
MIRALOMA GE 10 60 17%
ROOFTOP GE 12 69 17%
MONROE GE 4 22 18%
MOSCONE GE 4 22 18%
PEABODY GE 8 44 18%
SUNSET GE 13 67 19%
SLOAT GE 13 66 20%
SUNNYSIDE GE 13 66 20%
LILIENTHAL GE 14 66 21%
SHERMAN GE 17 67 25%
ALVARADO GE 12 44 27%
MONTESSORI GE 6 44 14%
GRATTAN GE 19 67 28%
TAYLOR GE 15 44 34%
CLARENDON GE 21 44 48%


FLES (Foreign Language in Elementary School)

School Prg Wait
Pool
  Kindergarten
  Capacity 
Waitpool
as a %
  of K Seats
LONGFELLOW FB FB None 22 -
CARMICHAEL FB FB None 22? -
PARKS JBBP JB 2 40 5%
CLARENDON JBBP JB 12 44 27%
FB= Tagalog, JB=Japanese


Cantonese Immersion

English spots
School Prg Wait
Pool
  Kindergarten
  Capacity 
Waitpool
as a %
  of K Seats
GARFIELD CE None 9 of 22 -
WEST PORTAL CE 3 13 of 33 23%
YU CE - monolingual English* 13 44 of 66? 30%
CIS CE 9 27 of 66 33%
YU CT-not monolingual English 14 22 of 66? 64%
* For Alice Fong Yu, CE refers to students who only listed English as a home language on their application. Students who listed any language other than English on the application are considered "CT."

A glowing review of Garfield from an English speaking parent can be found at
http://www.greatschools.org/california/san-francisco/6370-Garfield-Elementary-School/

Cantonese spots
School Prg Wait
Pool
  Kindergarten
  Capacity 
Waitpool
as a %
  of K Seats
GARFIELD CN None 13 of 22 -
CIS CN None 39 of 66 3%
WEST PORTAL CN 7 20 of 33? 35%
CN=passed the Cantonese proficiency test.

CIS has no wait pool for Cantonese proficient spots, so more English spots may open up in Round 5.

Mandarin Immersion

English spots
School Prg Wait
Pool
  Kindergarten
  Capacity 
Waitpool
as a %
  of K Seats
STARR KING ME None 18 of 44 -%
ORTEGA ME 8 9 of 22 89%

Mandarin spots
School Prg Wait
Pool
  Kindergarten
  Capacity 
Waitpool
as a %
  of K Spots
STARR KING MN None 26 of 44 -
ORTEGA MN 3 13 of 22 23%


Korean Immersion

School Prg Wait
Pool
  Kindergarten
  Capacity 
Waitpool
as a %
  of K Seats
LILIENTHAL English (KE) 4 9 of 22 44%
LILIENTHAL Korean (KN) None 13 of 22 -


Spanish Immersion

English spots
School Prg Wait
Pool
  Kindergarten
  Capacity 
Waitpool
as a %
  of K Seats
HARTE SE None9 of 22 -
MARSHALL SE None 18 of 44 -
REVERE SE None 16 of 40 -
FLYNN SE 3 18 of 44 17%
MONROE SE 4 18 of 44 22%
FAIRMOUNT SE 6 27 of 66 22%
BUENA VISTA/MANN SE 10 24 of 60 42%
ALVARADO SE 9 18 of 44 50%
WEBSTER SE 10 18 of 44 56%

Harte, Revere and Webster have no wait pool for Spanish proficient spots, so more English spots may open up. For those considering Harte, a glowing parent review is at: http://phile.com/user/SweetMedicine

Spanish proficient spots
School Prg Wait
Pool
  Kindergarten
  Capacity 
Waitpool
as a %
  of K Seats
WEBSTER SN - 26 of 44 -
REVERE SN - 24 of 40 -
HARTE SN - 13 of 22 -
FAIRMOUNT SN 1 39 of 66 3%
FLYNN SN 2 26 of 44 8%
MONROE SN 2 26 of 44 8%
BUENA VISTA SN 5 36 of 60 14%
ALVARADO SN 4 26 of 44 15%
MARSHALL SN 8 26 of 44 31%

Never Say Die Strategies

For Round 5, the percentage of students who register but don't show up on the first 3 days of school varies by race/ethnicity. Of the kindergarteners who registered for a spot and did not show up on the first day of school, 40% were white.  Kindergarteners of "Other" race/ethnicity were the most likely not to show up to their kindergarten assignment (35%),  followed by White kindergarteners (25%), non-Chinese Asians (17%), and Latinos and African Americans  (13%). Chinese applicants are the least likely (11%).

This suggests that if you have the fortitude to hold out until the last day to get in off the wait pool, your chances will be higher at, say, Lilienthal than at Alice Fong Yu.
Source: SFUSD First Annual Report on Student Assignment for the 2011-12 School Year, 3/5/2012


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